Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.429738 2.800296 3.213553 3.709514 4.289794 4.948700 5.755666
2025-04-13 1.805995 2.277696 2.857552 3.626761 4.626316 5.889258 7.618575
2025-04-20 1.562352 2.093860 2.791886 3.783978 5.171140 7.061493 9.866279
2025-04-27 1.343184 1.888621 2.643526 3.777493 5.459973 7.899196 11.767387
2025-05-04 1.216653 1.783779 2.605589 3.901869 5.929562 9.037427 14.273002
2025-05-11 1.089729 1.656544 2.511315 3.918466 6.224557 9.938210 16.542820
2025-05-18 0.985460 1.547575 2.426314 3.930210 6.502149 10.836865 18.944367
2025-05-25 0.873342 1.411177 2.278984 3.816086 6.546432 11.339722 20.722233
2025-06-01 0.809861 1.345579 2.237189 3.870850 6.883884 12.393086 23.681411
2025-06-08 0.761431 1.299018 2.220534 3.964614 7.299813 13.643087 27.233197
2025-06-15 0.706030 1.233803 2.163156 3.975066 7.557349 14.623666 30.405822
2025-06-22 0.644407 1.150771 2.064349 3.894151 7.623399 15.229761 32.882817
2025-06-29 0.598823 1.098719 2.028515 3.955104 8.035622 16.720582 37.894232
2025-07-06 0.538233 1.013008 1.921800 3.866452 8.139103 17.612253 41.833762
2025-07-13 0.513607 0.993094 1.939345 4.035013 8.824633 19.923903 49.815954
2025-07-20 0.474037 0.938401 1.879594 4.028059 9.112526 21.367625 55.946114
2025-07-27 0.451714 0.916038 1.883326 4.161442 9.751511 23.790467 65.393755
2025-08-03 0.421758 0.874009 1.839698 4.179242 10.112166 25.582787 73.548859
2025-08-10 0.394487 0.834560 1.796706 4.191839 10.461910 27.419326 82.372159
2025-08-17 0.360269 0.776012 1.703906 4.069444 10.437878 28.226861 88.192138
2025-08-24 0.341764 0.750779 1.684524 4.128174 10.913622 30.559955 99.770575
2025-08-31 0.327403 0.733450 1.681549 4.228740 11.525371 33.432861 114.154699
2025-09-07 0.308883 0.704330 1.646753 4.239951 11.883020 35.609850 126.749154